Visibility as to the trend of the businesses of the CIR Group in the coming months remains limited due to the uncertainties regarding the evolution of the macroeconomic scenario in a context of high inflation and still rising interest rates.
As far as KOS is concerned, operations are expected to return to full capacity in the Rehabilitation and Acute sectors during the current year while for nursing homes in Italy and Germany the trend of increasing occupancy has yet to be consolidated and it is expected that this will lead to full operational capacity between the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. Because of the inflationary dynamics that have characterized the sector and particularly the rise in the cost of healthcare personnel, in order for profitability to recover there needs to be a gradual adjustment of tariffs both in Italy and in Germany, a subject currently under discussion between business associations and the institutions affected. Assuming there are no further factors or circumstances, unpredictable as of today, that could make the context even more complex than it is at present, the operating results of KOS for the whole year should be significantly higher than those of last year.
As for Sogefi, visibility as to the automotive market trend in 2023 again remains limited due to uncertainties regarding the evolution of the macroeconomic scenario. For 2023 S&P Global (IHS) expects world car production to grow by 5.3% on 2022, with Europe at +11.8%, NAFTA at +8.2%, India at +7.2% and South America and China substantially unchanged. As far as raw materials and energy are concerned, since the beginning of the year 2023 prices have been trending downwards but they remain high and very volatile. Assuming there are no further factors that could cause a deterioration of the macroeconomic scenario from today’s levels, for 2023 Sogefi expects to see mid-single-digit revenue growth, in line with forecasts for the automotive market, and higher profitability, excluding non-recurring charges, than that of 2022.
As for financial asset management, despite the better performance of the financial markets in the first half of the year, given the uncertainties linked to the macroeconomic and financial scenarios, it is expected that conditions of high volatility will remain in the second half of the year as well.
SOURCE: 2023 Half year report